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New World Order: A Postwar Analysis
Noam Chomsky
A truism about the supposed New World Order is that it is economically
tripolar (the U.S., Germany and Japan) and militarily unipolar (the
U.S.). The recent events in the Gulf help understand the interplay
of these factors.
As the glorious “turkey shoot” began in the desert,
the New York Times published a fragment of a national security review
from the early days of the Bush administration, dealing with “third
world threats.” It reads: “In cases where the US confronts
much weaker enemies, our challenge will not be simply to defeat
them, but to defeat them decisively and rapidly.” Any other
outcome would be “embarrassing” and might “undercut
political support.”
“Much weaker enemies” pose only one threat to the US:
the threat of independence, always intolerable. The US will support
the most murderous tyrant as long as he plays along, and will labor
to overthrow third world democrats if they depart from their service
function. The documentary and historical records are clear on this
score.
The leaked fragment makes no reference to peaceful means. As understood
on all sides, in its confrontations with third world threats, the
US is “politically weak”; its demands are not likely
to gain public support, so diplomacy is a dangerous exercise. And
a “much weaker” opponent must not merely be defeated,
but pulverized, if the central lesson of World Order is to be learned:
We are the masters, and you shine our shoes.
There are other useful lessons. The domestic population must appreciate
“the stark and vivid definition of principle ... baked into
(George Bush) during his years at Andover and Yale, that honor and
duty compels you to punch the bully in the face.” These are
the admiring words of the reporter who released the policy review,
then quoting the hero himself: “By God, we've kicked the Vietnam
syndrome once and for all.” No longer, the President exults,
will we be troubled by “the sickly inhibitions against the
use of military force,” to borrow the terms of Reaganite intellectual
Norman Podhoretz.
The ground had been well prepared for overcoming this grave malady,
including dedicated efforts to ensure that the Vietnam war is properly
understood - as a “noble cause”, not a violent assault
against South Vietnam, then all of Indochina. Americans generally
estimate Vietnamese deaths at about 100,000, a recent academic study
reveals. Its authors ask what conclusions we would draw if the German
public estimated Holocaust deaths at 300,000, while declaring their
righteousness. A question we might ponder.
The principle that you punch the bully in the face - when you are
sure that he is securely bound and beaten to a pulp - is a natural
one for advocates of the rule of force. Cheap victories may also
mobilize a frightened domestic population, and may deflect attention
from the domestic disasters of the Reagan-Bush years, no small matter
as the country continues its march toward a two-tiered society with
striking third world features.
George Bush's career as a “public servant” also has
its lessons concerning the New World Order. He is the one head of
state who stands condemned by the World Court for “the unlawful
use of force.” He dismisses with contempt the Court's call
for reparations for these particular crimes (others are far beyond
reach), while he and his sycophants solemnly demand reparations
from Iraq. Bush opened the post-Cold War era with the murderous
invasion of Panama, imposing the rule of the 10% white minority
and guaranteeing US control over the canal and the bases that have
been used to train the gangsters who terrorize Latin America. Since
he became UN Ambassador in 1971, the US is far in the lead in vetoing
Security Council resolutions and blocking the UN peacekeeping function,
followed by Britain. Bush was called to head the CIA in 1975, just
in time to support near-genocide in East Timor. He then lent his
talents to the war against the Church and other deviants committed
to “the preferential option for the poor” in Central
America, now littered with tortured and mutilated bodies, perhaps
devastated beyond recovery.
In the Middle East, Bush supported Israel's harsh occupations,
its savage invasion of Lebanon, and its refusal to honor Security
Council Resolution 425 calling for immediate withdrawal from Lebanon
(March 1978, one of several). The plea was renewed by the government
of Lebanon in February, ignored as usual while the US client terrorizes
the occupied region and bombs at will, and the rest of Lebanon is
taken over by Bush's new friend Hafez al-Assad, a clone of Saddam
Hussein. The Turkish “peacemakers” were also authorized
to intensify their repression of the Kurds, in partial payment for
their services.
Plainly, we have here a man who should be lauded for rare principle
as he leads us to a New World Order.
The principles of the policy review were followed throughout the
Gulf Crisis. In July, Bush indicated that he had no objections to
Iraq's rectifying its border disputes with Kuwait by force, or intimidating
its neighbours to raise the price of oil. Misreading the signals,
Saddam took all of Kuwait, thus demonstrating that he was not only
a murderous gangster, which is fine by US-UK standards, but an independent
nationalist, which is quite improper. Standard policies were then
invoked.
The US and UK moved at once to undermine sanctions and diplomacy,
which had unusually high prospects of success. From late August,
Iraqi settlement offers were released that State Department officials
regarded as “serious” and “negotiable,”
including complete withdrawal from Kuwait on terms that would have
been pursued by anyone interested in peace. Efforts to avoid the
ground war with full Iraqi withdrawal, saving tens of thousands
of lives, were contemptuously brushed aside. Diplomacy is ruled
out, and since this third world country with its peasant army is
plainly a “much weaker enemy”, it has to be crushed,
so that the right lessons are taught.
The intellectual community swung into action, portraying Saddam
Hussein as a new Hitler poised to take over the world. When Bush
announced that there will be no negotiations, a hundred editorials
lauded him for his extraordinary efforts at diplomacy. When he proclaimed
that “aggressors cannot be rewarded,” instead of collapsing
in ridicule, responsible commentators stood in awe of his high principles.
Some agreed that the US and Britain had been “inconsistent”
in the past (in fact, they had consistently pursued their own interests.)
But now, we were assured, all had changed; they had learned that
the right way to respond to aggression is by the quick resort to
violence. We can therefore expect that the RAF will be sent to bomb
Damascus, Tel Aviv, Jakarta (after British Aerospace stops arming
the killers), Washington, and a host of others. Oddly, these new
insights were not accompanied by praise for Saddam Hussein for attacking
Israel, though his sordid arguments compare well enough with those
of his fellow-criminal and long-time friend in Washington.
In such ways, the ground was prepared for the merciless slaughter
that a leading third world journal describes as “the most
cowardly war ever fought on this planet.” The corpses have
quickly disappeared from view, joining mounds of others that do
not disturb the tranquility of the civilized.
There also seems to be no concern over the glaringly obvious fact
that no official reason was ever offered for going to war - no reason,
that is, that could not be instantly refuted by a literate teenager.
Again, this is the hallmark of a totalitarian culture, and a signpost
to the New World Order. The few extra-official efforts to justify
the rejection of peaceful means are no less revealing. Thus we read
that this case was different: the US rejection was underway before
the annexation, and continued unchanged after Iraqi proposals that
would have reversed it, not to speak of the US-UK response to other
cases of annexation, no less horrifying. Other arguments are equally
weighty.
In one of the rare efforts to face the crucial question, Timothy
Garton Ash explains in the New York Review that while sanctions
were possible in dealing with South Africa or Communist East Europe,
Saddam Hussein is different. That concludes the argument. We now
understand why it was proper to pursue “quiet diplomacy”
while our South African friends caused over $60 billion in damage
and 1.5 million deaths from 1980 to 1988 in the neighboring states
- putting aside South Africa and Namibia, and the preceding decade.
They are basically decent folk, like us and the Communist tyrants.
Why? One answer is suggested by Nelson Mandela, who condemns the
hypocrisy and prejudice of the highly selective response to the
crimes of the “brown-skinned” Iraqis. The same is true
when the New York Times assures us that “the world”
is united against Saddam Hussein, the most hated man in “the
world” - the world, that is, minus its darker faces.
It is understandable that Western racism should surface with such
stunning clarity after the Cold War. For 70 years, it has been possible
to disguise traditional practices behind the veil of “defense
against the Soviets,” generally a sham, now lost as a pretext.
We return, then, to the days when the New York press explained that
“we must go on slaughtering the natives in English fashion,
and taking what muddy glory lies in the wholesale killing till they
have learned to respect our arms. The more difficult task of getting
them to respect our intentions will follow.” In fact, they
understand our intentions well enough.
For the people of the Middle East, the New World Order looks grim.
The victor is the violent state that has long rejected any serious
diplomatic approach to regional disarmament and security problems,
often virtually alone. The US strategic conception has been that
the local managers of Gulf oil riches should be protected by regional
enforcers, preferably non-Arab, though bloody tyrants of the Hafez
al-Assad variety may be allowed to join the club, possibly even
Egypt if it can be purchased. The US will seek some agreement among
these clients, and might finally even consider an international
conference, if it can be properly managed. As Kissinger intended,
Europe and Japan must be kept out of the diplomacy, but the USSR
might now be tolerated on the assumption that it will be obedient
in its current straits, possibly Britain as well.
As for the Palestinians, the US can now move towards the solution
outlined by James Baker well before the Gulf crisis: Jordan is the
Palestinian state; occupied territories are to be ruled in accord
with the basic guidelines of the Israeli government, with Palestinians
permitted to collect taxes in Nablus; their political representatives
will be chosen for them, with the PLO excluded; and “free
elections' will be held under Israeli military control with the
Palestinian leadership in prison camps. New excuses will be devised
for the old policies, which will be hailed as generous and forthcoming.
Economic development for the Palestinians had always been barred,
while their land and water were taken. They had been permitted to
serve the Israeli economy as virtual slave labor, but this interlude
is passing. The recent curfew administered a further blow to the
Palestinian economy. The victors can now proceed with the policy
articulated in February 1989 by Yitzhak Rabin of the Labor Party,
then Defense Secretary, when he informed Peace Now leaders of his
satisfaction with the US-PLO dialogue, meaningless discussions to
divert attention while Israel suppresses the Intifadah by force.
The Palestinians “will be broken”, Rabin promised, reiterating
the prediction of Israeli Arabists 40 years earlier; the Palestinians
will “be crushed,” will die or “turn into human
dust and the waste of society, and join the most impoverished classes
in the Arab countries.” Or they will leave, while Russian
Jews now barred from the US by policies designed to deny them a
free choice, flock to an expanded Israel, leaving the diplomatic
issues moot, as the Baker-Shamir-Peres plan envisaged.
The political leadership in Washington and London have created
economic and social catastrophes at home, and have no idea how to
deal with them, except to exploit their military power. Following
the advice of the business press, they may try to turn their countries
into mercenary states, serving as the global mafia, selling “protection”
to the rich, defending them against “third world threats”
and demanding proper payment for their services. Riches funnelled
from the Gulf oil producers are to prop up the two failing economies.
German-led Europe, later Japan, will carry out the task of “Latin
Americanizing” most of the domains of the collapsing Soviet
tyranny, with the former Communist bureaucracy probably running
the branch offices of foreign corporations. The rest of the third
world will be controlled by economic pressures if possible, by force
if necessary.
These are some of the contours of the planned New World Order that
come into view as the beguiling rhetoric is lifted away.
From The ACTivist, April 1991
(This analysis was written by Noam Chomsky for the National Campaign
for Peace in the Middle East.)
(CX5042)
See also:
War
in the Gulf - A critique of the 1991 Gulf
War. (CX4163)
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