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NEWS & LETTERS, May 2002     

Venezuela coup attempt fails but raises key questions

Venezuela’s elite successfully ousted Hugo Chavez from his presidential post on April 11 in the midst of a general strike and a massive march, only to see him reinstated less than two days later after even bigger protests by his supporters. Governments throughout Latin America immediately condemned the coup, while the U.S. rushed to offer its support to the new regime on its first and only full day in power.

The whirlwind of events on those two days had been developing since last November, when Chavez used his “fast track” powers to enact 49 new laws that have alienated landowners and capitalists. One of those laws creates a National Land Institute whose job is to carry out a mild land reform. All of them are intended to institutionalize Chavez’s “Bolivarian Revolution,” which until November had done little concrete to aid Venezuela’s poor, estimated at 80% of the country’s 24 million people.

Pedro Carmona, head of Fedecamaras, the largest business group, was the old guard’s hero for a day and a half. In that brief reign he attempted to abolish the legislature, cut off all oil shipments to Cuba (“Not a single barrel will reach the island!”), and fire the military chiefs still loyal to Chavez.

The stupidity of the U.S. in rushing to embrace him  showed how poorly attuned they are to events there. Bush’s hatred of Chavez had intensified since he criticized the war on Afghanistan for “fighting terror with terror,” and they’ve no doubt been looking for ways to undermine the “Chavistas” since then. But they have little appreciation for the support Chavez still has among the poor, who again have shown no desire to give up on him if the only alternative is the same old neoliberalism that they threw out with Chavez’s numerous election victories since 1998.

However, what has been even more surprising in the days after the coup is the lack of analysis by rational people to come to terms with what it meant. If Chavez is so popular, how was the old guard able to bring 100,000 people into the streets on the third day of a national strike? Most commentaries have skirted the issue by claiming there was not quite so many that came out, and anyway the “real people” were the bigger crowds that came out to protest the coup once Carmona took over.

The bulk of the April 11 march did come from the eastern end of Caracas, which is more affluent, whereas the huge outpouring (400,000 according to some estimates) on the 13th was from the western, poorer end. But this crisis is simply the latest in a string of similiar events. On Dec. 10, Fedecamaras called a successful general strike, and on Jan. 23 brought out 100,000 people to a “March for Freedom & Democracy.” Both were countered by even bigger pro-Chavez rallies, but the fact remains that Chavez has done much to alienate workers from him. Oil workers have had their strikes deemed illegal and school teachers are sick of his atttempts to militarize education. When 140,000 teachers went on strike in late January, the strike was declared illegal. Overiding everything is the poverty that has only worsened during Chavez's time in power.

What saved Chavez on April 13 was not only the masses, but the fact that the elite has yet to reconstruct its old two party system that ruled the country from 1958 to 1998. The Social Christians and Democratic Action are still defunct, and this explains why the bourgeoisie has turned to organizing mass events through Fedecamaras. They’re sure to be getting some help from the U.S. in the coming period.

On the other side looms a greater question that needs to be addressed: how can Chavez’s so-called Bolivarian Revolution, which has not been able to change the lives of the poor in any significant way, become a real revolution? If the U.S. does not to get its wish for another puppet “democracy” that tows the neoliberal line, the masses that flexed their power on April 13 must follow through somehow with what they started.

—Mitch Weerth

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